Current community forecast
No 63.5%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 16, 26, 11:47 PM UTCDec 7, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Art Basel Miami runs Dec 5-7, 2026.
- This resolves YES if Christie's, Sotheby's, or Phillips announces and holds a dedicated NFT/digital art auction (live or online) timed to coincide with Art Basel Miami week (Dec 1-8, 2026).
- Resolution criteria:
- - Must be a standalone auction specifically focused on NFTs or blockchain-based digital art
- - "Dedicated" means 75%+ of lots must be NFT/digital works (not just a section within a contemporary sale)
- - Includes Christie's 3.0, Sotheby's Metaverse, or equivalent platforms
Open markets
CryptoPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+0.9pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $554.2K
- 24h Vol
- $500.1K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $290.5K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
- What price will Ethereum hit on September 8?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any major auction house hold a dedicated NFT auction during Art Basel Miami 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any major auction house hold a dedicated NFT auction during Art Basel Miami 2026? resolve?
- Will any major auction house hold a dedicated NFT auction during Art Basel Miami 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 7, 2026.
- How is Will any major auction house hold a dedicated NFT auction during Art Basel Miami 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Art Basel Miami runs Dec 5-7, 2026.