PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31, 17%-0.6ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$19.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.3 pt
Moderate spreadComments
67
7d Change
-2.7 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 26, 26, 3:59 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWhat will Opensea FDV be at 1 day after launch?
KalshiOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
LimitlessOpensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
LimitlessOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
LimitlessWill the OpenSea token be >1 billion a week after launch?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Opensea officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
- Announcements alone do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Opensea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $807.7K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $637.3K
- 24h Vol
- $630.2K
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.6pt98%
- $25M+1.1pt96%
- $50M+1.5pt88%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 9?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Opensea launch a token by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31, at 17% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Opensea launch a token by which date? resolve?
- Will Opensea launch a token by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Opensea launch a token by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Opensea officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.