Current community forecast
Yes 64.3%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Feb 23, 23, 2:38 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
See: https://twitter.com/atomic_semi
- https://atomicsemi.com/
- Jim Keller is a legendary computer architecture mercenary, and Sam Zeloof is a young hotshot famous for building a silicon fab in his garage as a high schooler.
- They've started a company together -- Atomic Semi -- pulling a $15M investment from OpenAI.
- Will they have sold anything meaningful before 2028?
- Same rules as https://manifold.markets/citrinitas/will-terraform-industries-sell-some: stock sales, swag, flamethrowers, and NFT baseball cards don't count.
