Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity returns to the Moon?
One-OffEntertainmentSpace4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 79.9%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 3, 23, 9:10 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the next A Song of Ice and Fire book, The Winds of Winter, is released before the next human sets foot on the Moon.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity returns to the Moon??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 80% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity returns to the Moon? resolve?
- Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity returns to the Moon? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity returns to the Moon? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the next A Song of Ice and Fire book, The Winds of Winter, is released before the next human sets foot on the Moon.