Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
Russia / UkraineOne-Off3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 81.9%
Forecasters
42
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMar 5, 23, 8:33 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 6:29 AM UTC
Trends
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I'm open to arguments about whether or not it should be disclosed beforehand.