Will US average gas price reach … in June 2026?
CommoditiesMonthlyMacro & EconomyGeopoliticsMiddle EastManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current community forecast$4.200 or lower? 100%Leader of 24 outcomes
Forecasters
49
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleMay 26, 26, 5:47 AMJun 30, 26, 7:25 AM
Probability Timeline
$4.400 or higher?0%
$4.450 or higher?0%
$4.500 or higher?0%
$4.550 or higher?0%
$4.600 or higher?0%
$4.650 or higher?0%
$4.710 or higher?0%
$4.810 or higher?0%
$4.890 or higher?0%
$4.960 or higher?0%
$5.030 or higher?0%
$5.120 or higher?0%
$4.200 or lower?86.7%
$4.100 or lower?97.1%
$4.000 or lower?96.2%
$3.750 or lower?0%
$5.00 or higher?0%
$4.250 or lower?95.2%
$4.350 or lower?99%
$3.825 or lower?0%
$3.950 or lower?100%
$3.900 or lower?92%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Compare venues· $4.200 or lower?
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $114.3K | $3.8K | 28 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 27 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Gas prices in the US in Jun 2026?
48.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Above 3.84 (97%)
99%
99%
+13.0pt99%
+30 more outcomes
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$678.9K
24h Vol$114.3K
KALSHIRules
Resolution criteria
- This answer resolves YES if the national average price for regular gas is equal to or greater than the number listed on any day during June 2026.
- Resolution source: https://gasprices.aaa.com/
- Source is the regular average
- The national average retail price of gasoline crossed $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022 at the end of March, driven by the war in Iran, which has led to significant disruption in crude oil production and trade, with many Middle Eastern countries' production facilities shut down or destroyed.
- As of March 23rd, the national average for regular gasoline stood at $3.96 per gallon, representing a surge of $1.02 throughout the month of March.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria
- This answer resolves YES if the national average price for regular gas is equal to or greater than the number listed on any day during June 2026.
- Resolution source: https://gasprices.aaa.com/
- Source is the regular average
- The national average retail price of gasoline crossed $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022 at the end of March, driven by the war in Iran, which has led to significant disruption in crude oil production and trade, with many Middle Eastern countries' production facilities shut down or destroyed.
- As of March 23rd, the national average for regular gasoline stood at $3.96 per gallon, representing a surge of $1.02 throughout the month of March.