Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.5%
Forecasters
49
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 22, 6:23 AM UTCOct 29, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
A friend sent me this
- You think elon's going to beat Yahoo's Tumblr record for a social media company 97% devaluation speedrun? Which is to say, do you think he can get its value under 1.3 billion in less than 6 years Personally I think his chances are very good
- Resolves YES iff Twitter's valuation is under $1.3b in today's dollars on or before October 28, 2028
- Close date updated to 2028-10-28 11:59 pm
