Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
May 27, 24, 8:41 AM UTCMar 5, 40, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves as YES if credible reports confirm the existence of concentration camps in Taiwan before January 1, 2040.
- Criteria for Resolution:
- Definition of Concentration Camps: For the purposes of this market, concentration camps are defined as facilities where individuals are detained in large numbers without due process, often based on ethnicity, religion, political beliefs, or other discriminatory criteria, and where conditions involve deprivation of human rights, including forced labor, or physical and psychological abuse.
- Verification: The existence of concentration camps must be verified through credible international sources, such as reports from human rights organizations (e.g., Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch), reputable global news outlets (e.g., BBC, Reuters), or official statements from recognized international bodies like the United Nations.
- Background: The concept of concentration camps is associated with human rights abuses and violations of international law.
- This market seeks to evaluate the likelihood of such measures being implemented in Taiwan, a country with a complex geopolitical situation and significant tensions with the People's Republic of China.