Current community forecast
No 96.7%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJun 20, 24, 8:11 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
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KalshiRules
There are not currently plans for such a test.
- However, the Boe-CFT Crewed Flight Test has experienced problems, and there is speculation about another test flight before the first operational flight Starliner-1.
- Will such a flight happen?
- [tweet]Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there is an uncrewed "operational" flight named Starliner-1, this market will resolve No, even if it functions as another test flight in practice.
- The key criterion is whether the flight occurs before the Starliner-1 flight (by name), not whether it's operationally a test.
- If the resolution becomes unclear, the creator will seek an uninvolved second opinion.
Open markets
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+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
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LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
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- Yes43.5%
- Total Vol
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+9 more outcomes
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- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 more outcomes
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- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt67%
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt53%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
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- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? resolve?
- Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027.
- How is Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: There are not currently plans for such a test.