Current community forecast
No 56.3%
Forecasters
49
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMar 27, 24, 6:29 PM UTCJan 1, 91, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a baby be born on the moon before someone walks on Mars?
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PolymarketRules
See: @/strutheo/in-what-year-will-a-baby-be-born-on
- See: @/strutheo/in-what-year-will-a-baby-be-born-on-5db88172f686
- See: @/strutheo/will-a-dog-walk-on-the-moon-before-028fe3f4fcdb
- Market open until one of the events happens
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $724.5K
- 24h Vol
- $674.2K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+46.0pt99%
- Houston+61.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+3.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704.2K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $483.2K
- 24h Vol
- $482.8K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.6%
- 160-179+4.0pt28.9%
- 200-219-3.0pt15.4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+26.0pt91%
- 65-89-14.0pt9%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a baby born on the Moon before Mars??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 56% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will there be a baby born on the Moon before Mars? resolve?
- Will there be a baby born on the Moon before Mars? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2091.
- How is Will there be a baby born on the Moon before Mars? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: See: @/strutheo/in-what-year-will-a-baby-be-born-on