Will the US impose 50% secondary tariffs on any Iran weapons supplier by July 31, 2026?
Trade PolicyMiddle EastUS Politics27dManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 29.7%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleMay 5, 26, 6:40 PMJul 31, 26, 10:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes30%
Related Markets
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
$51.1KOctober 31: 73%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
$86Yes: 67%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
$7.3KBefore 2027: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$1.3K$0 / No Acquisition: 83%KALSHI
KALSHIWill more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?
$1KYes: 8.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
$658Yes: 58%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Iran-Oman Hormuz transit fee talks hit odds: Polymarket sees 85.5% NoBlockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.