Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 59.1% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin? resolve?

Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin? is scheduled to resolve on September 19, 2049.

How is Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to "YES" if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series of fantasy novels is released before the death of the author, George R. R. Martin.

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