Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
One-OffSociety & Culture2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 85.5%
Forecasters
60
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 3, 24, 7:06 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Final entry in main book series - does not include short stories, Simarillion style additional content, etc.
- Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Resolution Deadline Extended: The deadline for resolving the market has been extended by 12 months.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
