Will the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire be published before George R. R. Martin dies?
One-OffEntertainment
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.7%
Forecasters
78
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 24, 22, 10:28 PM UTCJan 1, 51, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire is published before George R. R. Martin dies.
- The book must be described as the final, concluding book of the series in official announcements prior to its publication.
- (If it is announced that no more books will be published, but it is widely agreed that the series was not concluded, then that would not count.)
- Otherwise, resolves NO when George R. R. Martin dies.
- The close date of this market will be extended as necessary, it is not required that the publication happens before the close date.
