Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMar 19, 24, 1:36 AM UTCJan 1, 25, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Jesus Christ return (the second coming)
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Second Coming of Christ by 2100?
Manifold MarketsIs Jimmy Carter the second coming of Christ?
Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiRules
Resolves Yes if the second coming of Jesus Christ happened within the next 100 years (before the end of 2124)
- Resolves No if the second coming of Jesus Christ did not happen before the end of 2124
- A second coming of Jesus Christ, as described in the Bible, should include:
- Physical Return of Jesus Christ Matthew 24:30: "Then will appear the sign of the Son of Man in heaven.
- And then all the peoples of the earth will mourn when they see the Son of Man coming on the clouds of heaven, with power and great glory."
- Acts 1:11: "'Men of Galilee,' they said, 'why do you stand here looking into the sky? This same Jesus, who has been taken from you into heaven, will come back in the same way you have seen him go into heaven.'"
Open markets
ReligionPOLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Total Vol
- $65.6M
- 24h Vol
- $11.6K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Total Vol
- $12.2K
- 24h Vol
- $11.1K
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $137.2K
- 24h Vol
- $5
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $784
- 24h Vol
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Total Vol
- $3.6
- 24h Vol
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSGutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Yes55.3%
- No44.7%
- Total Vol
- $3.2K
- 24h Vol
- —
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years? resolve?
- Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2125.
- How is Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves Yes if the second coming of Jesus Christ happened within the next 100 years (before the end of 2124)