Will the Kenya Universal Basic Income experiment find that UBI significantly reduces local crime?
One-OffSociety & CultureCrime & Justice10moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastYes 68%
Forecasters
371
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleJan 10, 23, 3:40 PMMay 31, 27, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes68%
Volume trend
$32Jul 134d of dataJul 22
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