Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 6.9%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jun 15, 26, 8:53 AMAug 7, 26, 12:25 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes7%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
2.0%12d
-2.0%38%
-2.0%29%
14%
+20 more outcomes
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$40K
24h Vol$162
KALSHI
Also available on Polymarket
July Unemployment Rate
0.5%11d
40%
+0.5%31%
-0.5%13%
+6 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$14.7K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$35Jul 145d of dataJul 22
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Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.