Will the EIA weekly U.S. average regular gasoline price fall below $3.75/gallon before November 2026?
WeeklyCommoditiesInflationUS PoliticsLatin America1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.5%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 30, 26, 6:26 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the U.S. Energy Information Administration's "Weekly U.S. Regular All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices" series publishes ANY weekly value, dated on or before 2026-10-26, that is strictly below $3.750 per gallon.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Oracle (sole source): https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=EMM_EPMR_PTE_NUS_DPG&f=W Only the national weekly figure in that series counts.
- AAA, GasBuddy, state averages, and daily prices do NOT count.
- Revisions published by EIA are honored.
- Context: the Aug 24, 2026 reading was $4.085.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $88.49+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.4999%
- Above $87.99+4.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $302.5K
- 24h Vol
- $166.3K
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- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
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- Above $2.85099%
- Above $2.85598%
- Above $2.92596%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.3K
- 24h Vol
- $95.2K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $121K
- 24h Vol
- $87.8K
KALSHIDiesel prices this week
- Above $5.7099%
- Above $5.7299%
- Above $5.7499%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $56.5K
- 24h Vol
- $56.5K
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- Before Jan 20, 2029+6.0pt34.3%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+5.0pt25.3%
- Before Mar 1, 202711.1%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.9M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the EIA weekly U.S. average regular gasoline price fall below $3.75/gallon before November 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the EIA weekly U.S. average regular gasoline price fall below $3.75/gallon before November 2026? resolve?
- Will the EIA weekly U.S. average regular gasoline price fall below $3.75/gallon before November 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026.
- How is Will the EIA weekly U.S. average regular gasoline price fall below $3.75/gallon before November 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the U.S. Energy Information Administration's "Weekly U.S. Regular All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices" series publishes ANY weekly value, dated on or before 2026-10-26, that is strictly below $3.750 per gallon.