Will the EIA weekly U.S. average regular gasoline price fall below $3.75/gallon before November 2026?
WeeklyCommoditiesInflationUS PoliticsLatin America7d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.6%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 59 minutes ago
LaggingAug 30, 26, 6:26 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US gas prices hit $6/gallon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
KalshiSteam: Weekly Top Seller
KalshiWill Anthropic allow me to have a daily or weekly usage credit limit in 2026?
Manifold Marketsi get a A in all my classes this semester? (weekly updates maybe idk)
Manifold MarketsWill Alabama Amendment 4 (weekly national anthem in public schools) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if the U.S. Energy Information Administration's "Weekly U.S. Regular All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices" series publishes ANY weekly value, dated on or before 2026-10-26, that is strictly below $3.750 per gallon.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Oracle (sole source): https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=EMM_EPMR_PTE_NUS_DPG&f=W Only the national weekly figure in that series counts.
- AAA, GasBuddy, state averages, and daily prices do NOT count.
- Revisions published by EIA are honored.
- Context: the Aug 24, 2026 reading was $4.085.
