Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average end the calendar year 2026 above $50,000
YearlyEquitiesMacro & Economy3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59.5%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 6, 26, 6:58 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiDow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 8, 2026 at 12pm EDT
KalshiDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 8?
PolymarketWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -8.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
Market will resolve based on the close of the last trading day in 2026.
Open markets
EquitiesKALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $211.6K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt16.7%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-2.0pt14.7%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.8%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.4M
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.7pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++13.3pt77.9%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.5pt7.7%
- 1T–1.25T-1.3pt5.8%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- Down+3.0pt73%
- Up-3.0pt27%
- Total Vol
- $19.6K
- 24h Vol
- $17.5K
- S&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average end the calendar year 2026 above $50,000?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average end the calendar year 2026 above $50,000 resolve?
- Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average end the calendar year 2026 above $50,000 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average end the calendar year 2026 above $50,000 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Market will resolve based on the close of the last trading day in 2026.