Will the DJIA close below 51,000 by October 14, 2026? (10/14/26)
CryptoOne-OffFedBonds & TreasuriesEquitiesManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (60.1%)
Resolved: Oct 15, 2026, 3:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the DJIA close up OR down by 1,000 points in a single session by November 12, 2026 (11/12/26)?
Manifold MarketsWill a 30-year fixed rate mortgage be cheaper than an adjustable rate mortgage for me?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
KalshiWill the price of silver metal close at over $60/oz at the end of October according to the SI=F ticker on Yahoo Finance?
Manifold MarketsWill the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to Yes if the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closes below 51,000.00 on any trading day from October 6, 2026, through October 14, 2026, inclusive.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to No. "Closing below 51,000" means the official daily closing price of the index is strictly less than 51,000.00 (i.e., 50,999.99 or lower).
- Intraday dips below 51,000 that do not hold at the market close do not trigger a "Yes" resolution.
- The primary source of truth will be the daily closing price of the index as published by S&P Dow Jones Indices and archived on Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED).