Current community forecast
No 76.4%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 6:23 PM UTCNov 11, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, during any single standard trading session from the time of market creation through November 12, 2026, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closes at least 1,000.00 points higher or at least 1,000.00 points lower than its close from the immediately preceding trading session.
- Otherwise, if no such trading session occurs by the end of the regular trading day on November 12, 2026, this market will resolve to NO.
- Source of Truth: The official daily closing price of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) as reported on Yahoo Finance or Bloomberg.
- Formula: Resolution is determined by the absolute difference between the closing price of day $t$ and the closing price of day $t-1$: $$|\text{Close}{t} - \text{Close}{t-1}| \ge 1,000.00$$
- Scope: Only official daily closing values are considered.
