Current community forecast
No 80%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 6:05 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 1:27 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- YES Resolution: This market resolves to YES if the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) daily closing price is strictly below 48,000 on any trading day from the market creation date through November 30, 2026, inclusive.
- NO Resolution: This market resolves to NO if the daily closing price of the DJIA remains at or above 48,000 on every single trading day during this period.
- Source of Truth: The daily closing price as listed on Yahoo Finance (^DJI) or other reputable financial outlets like Bloomberg and CNBC.
- Edge Cases: Only official daily closing values (typically recorded at 4:00 PM ET) will be used to determine resolution.
- Intraday drops below 48,000 that do not sustain through the market close will not trigger a YES resolution.
