Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (94%)
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 9:26 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 94%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:23 PMAug 19, 26, 9:26 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes94%
No6%
94%
6%
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Stripe officially announces a definitive agreement to acquire OpenRouter (or its parent entity) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- The resolution will be verified using official announcements from:
- Stripe's Newsroom: https://stripe.com/newsroom
- OpenRouter's official channels
- Credible financial/tech journalism sources (e.g., The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, or Reuters)
