Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 7:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo, it will release on June 18, 2027 33.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleApr 27, 26, 1:16 PM UTCJun 18, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official theatrical release date of Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse in the United States, as confirmed by Sony Pictures or a major trade publication (e.g., Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, Deadline).
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if the film is released theatrically in the United States on June 18, 2027.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if the release date is shifted to a date between June 19, 2027, and August 18, 2027.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if the release date is shifted to a date between August 19, 2027, and December 18, 2027.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if the release date is shifted to a date between December 19, 2027, and June 18, 2028.