Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 79.2%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 28, 23, 4:00 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Solar power recently overtook hydropower to become the 3rd largest source of electricity in terrawatts (February 2023).
- Some analysts believe that by the end of 2027, Solar PV will become the largest source of energy, ahead of coal and gas, due to declining set-up costs and massive private/public sector investment.
- This market asks whether solar PV will indeed be the number 1 source of power (by terrawatts) by the end of 2027 (31st Dec 12 am) according to data from the International Energy Agency.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 79% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028? resolve?
- Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Solar power recently overtook hydropower to become the 3rd largest source of electricity in terrawatts (February 2023).