Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94.9% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? resolve?

Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on October 20, 2027.

How is Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.1pt98%
• Anthropic-0.9pt1%
• OpenAI+0.2pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$237.8K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+2.0pt24%
• 2028-1.0pt17%
• 2027+0.5pt9%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+9.6pt55%
• Claude-10.5pt35.1%
• ChatGPT+0.6pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.5pt22%
• 2028+5.0pt18%
• 2027+2.5pt9%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt29.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T+4.2pt21.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.0pt20.2%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+6.5pt57.1%
• Anthropic-7.5pt34.7%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Google market share this week
• Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?