Current community forecast
No 84.5%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJun 2, 26, 4:21 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket leaves the ground under its own power before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Blue Origin's heavy-lift orbital rocket, New Glenn, has successfully flown three times:
- NG-1 on January 16, 2025
- NG-2 on November 13, 2025