Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 50.4%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 15, 26, 4:17 AM UTCApr 15, 36, 4:11 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES iff, by market close, a Nectome Cumulative Discount Card sold by Nectome in 2026 is verifiably sold on an aftermarket for at least 60,000 USD (or equivalent in some other currency at time of sale).
- In other words, if Nectome succeeds as a business, and someone who bought the card for $20k in 2026 sells the discount to someone else for $60k or more, this resolves YES.
- If May 2036 comes along and I cannot find any evidence of such a sale, it resolves NO.
