Will Minnesota's permanent school fund distributions amendment be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
RegulationOne-OffUS Politics2026 US MidtermsPoliticsElection24dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 89.5%
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Updated 57 minutes ago
LaggingOct 6, 26, 6:45 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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This market resolves YES if Minnesota (Increasing funding to school districts.
- Shall the Minnesota Constitution be amended to increase the funding going to all school districts from the permanent school fund, which is a fund that supports school districts without raising individual income or property taxes, effective July 1, 2027?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Majority of ALL voters who cast a ballot in the election, not just those voting on the question (Minn.
- IX, sec. 1) YES votes must exceed 50% of total ballots cast in the Nov 3 election; a blank or skipped answer has the same effect as NO (SOS: 'Failure to vote on a constitutional amendment will have the same effect as voting no on the amendment').
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
