Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2029?
RegulationOne-OffCorporate ActionsGeopolitics3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.4%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 26, 2:21 PM UTCMar 31, 30, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 155 F-35 aircraft in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Lockheed Martin deliver more than 120 F-35 aircraft in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Lockheed Martin deliver more than 155 F-35 aircraft in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2028?
Manifold MarketsLockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q1 2027
KalshiAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if Lockheed Martin delivers more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2029.
- What is being measured: Total F-35 (all variants, all customers) deliveries by Lockheed Martin in calendar year 2029, as reported in Lockheed's annual report (published ~February 2030), settled March 31 2030.
- YES if: F-35 annual deliveries >= 190 aircraft for 2029 NO if: Deliveries are below 190 aircraft
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Lockheed Martin 10-K annual report (SEC EDGAR, lmco.com/investors) — delivery tables
- Lockheed Martin Q4 earnings press release — annual deliveries summary