Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.8%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJun 30, 26, 11:25 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 12:21 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
I've had one for a while, which was strong enough to pinch skin against other metal objects quite painfully, but not do anything worse.
- I can just barely free a ball bearing that's stuck to the magnet with nothing but my fingers.
- I just got a second supermagnet a bit larger than the first.
- "Severe injury" will include anything whose effects last longer than 1 week, or anything for which I decide I need to seek medical attention.
- Resolves NO if I make it to the end of the year.
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+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I severely injure myself with my new supermagnets??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will I severely injure myself with my new supermagnets? resolve?
- Will I severely injure myself with my new supermagnets? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is Will I severely injure myself with my new supermagnets? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I've had one for a while, which was strong enough to pinch skin against other metal objects quite painfully, but not do anything worse.