What are the current odds for Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 83.1% as of October 30, 2026.

Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 83.1%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Forecast

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Updated 6 hours ago

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Dec 21, 23, 9:31 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 9:59 PM UTC

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According to the World Bank estimations, the were 700.6 million people who lived in extreme poverty in Sep. 2023.

Will this number be cut in half by 2030?
Will resolve with World Bank data, or other reliable source if World Bank data is unavailable.
Extreme poverty means 2.15$ in 2017 dollars, PPP adjusted.
Resolution might be delayed while waiting for available data.
Link to world back page of poverty: https://pip.worldbank.org/home