Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (98.2%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 10:29 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1.8%
No98.2%
Won
Lost
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