Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 19, 2026, 2:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 3:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
Won
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Market will end in a YES if I successfully ask someone to the homecoming dance and they follow through
- Market will end in a NO if I do not end up asking anyone or if I get rejected.
- I am in no current relationship/talking with anyone.
- I am an athlete that is decently liked.
- I don’t enjoy talking to females but they don’t seem to have a problem talking/ having a liking to me.
- I do have friends that are able to set me up but I do not know about my opinions yet.