Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?
One-OffAdoptionBusiness & Corporate1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.4%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJun 24, 26, 1:57 PM UTCAug 27, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before August 28, 2028, at 11:59 PM UTC, at least one user referred to Manifold Markets by the market creator has created 100 or more public questions.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definitions & Rules:
- A referred user is defined as anyone who signed up for Manifold Markets using the creator's referral link, or is otherwise verified by the creator or Manifold database as having been referred by the creator.
- The count of created questions will be determined by the number of public markets shown under the "Created" tab on the referred user's Manifold profile.
