What are the current odds for Will gwern visit Shenzhen by EOY2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 71.9% as of October 11, 2026.

When does Will gwern visit Shenzhen by EOY2027? resolve?

Will gwern visit Shenzhen by EOY2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.

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Will gwern visit Shenzhen by EOY2027?

ChinaOne-Off1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 71.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Dec 1, 24, 9:08 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Will gwern visit Shenzhen by EOY2027?

Will gwern visit Shenzhen by EOY2027?

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