Will fossil fuel-powered cars be banned from use in the majority of the world by 2050?
RegulationOne-OffManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68.5%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleMay 14, 23, 1:48 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
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Rules
The use of petrol, diesel and other fossil fuels is banned*, either through those cars being banned from use, or the sale of those fuels being banned/restricted from being sold to the general public**.
- *Hybrid cars that can use fossil fuels or electricity would need to be restricted so that they may only be run with electricity.
- **A ban similar to the current ban on leaded fuel, where exceptions are made for rare/classic cars where leaded fuel is required for preservation would still count.
- I'm counting "the majority of the world" on a population basis.
- At least 50% of the world's population needs to be in a country with these rules.
