Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)
TechOne-OffEntertainment1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.2%
Forecasters
87
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 19, 23, 8:40 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 6:29 PM UTC
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From Wikipedia:
- Well-known bestseller lists in the U.S. are published by Publishers Weekly, USA Today, The New York Times and The Washington Post.
- Most of these lists track book sales from national and independent bookstores, as well as sales from major internet retailers such as Amazon.com and Barnes & Noble
- If the book I author appears in Publishers weekly, NYT, Washington Post or USA today as a bestselling book, before the close date, then this market resolves yes.
- If all of these lists cease to exist, then resolves N/A. if any of them still operate, then they count.
