Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)
One-OffSociety & Culture2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 99%
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72
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 11 hours ago
StaleSep 29, 23, 7:00 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:29 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Needs to stay up for >3 consecutive weeks at least.
- By @firstuserhere I mean me, the person behind the handle.
- If the page is about "firstuserhere" in a context where it's me, then resolves yes.
- If it's some other firstuserhere, then no.
- If it's my given name, then yes.
- Or if it's a pseudonym that is mine, then yes.
