Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 26, 2:21 PM UTCJun 30, 30, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2029?
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceeds 12 tonnes in 2029.
- What is being measured: Energy Fuels White Mesa Mill Sm2O3 production for calendar year 2029, as reported in Energy Fuels' annual report (published ~March/April 2030), settled June 30 2030.
- YES if: Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 annual production >= 12 tonnes for 2029 NO if: Production is below 12 tonnes or not reported
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Energy Fuels 10-K annual report (SEC EDGAR) — rare earth production section
- Energy Fuels quarterly earnings releases (uuuu.com/investors)
Open markets
Regulation
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+7 more outcomes
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+7 more outcomes
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+8 more outcomes
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+9 more outcomes
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+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 12 tonnes in 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 12 tonnes in 2029? resolve?
- Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 12 tonnes in 2029? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2030.
- How is Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 12 tonnes in 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceeds 12 tonnes in 2029.