Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 26, 2:21 PM UTCJun 30, 28, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 12 tonnes in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 20 tonnes in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed 1% in August 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -8.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceeds 5 tonnes in 2027.
- What is being measured: Energy Fuels White Mesa Mill Sm2O3 production for calendar year 2027, as reported in Energy Fuels' annual report (published ~March/April 2028), settled June 30 2028.
- YES if: Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 annual production >= 5 tonnes for 2027 NO if: Production is below 5 tonnes or not reported
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Energy Fuels 10-K annual report (SEC EDGAR) — rare earth production section
- Energy Fuels quarterly earnings releases (uuuu.com/investors)
Open markets
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $253.8K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jul 1, 2027-11.0pt37%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-19.0pt35%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-20.0pt35%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T17.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2027? resolve?
- Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2027? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2028.
- How is Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceeds 5 tonnes in 2027.