Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 57.2%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 26, 2:21 PM UTCJun 30, 28, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2027?
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceeds 20 tonnes in 2027.
- What is being measured: Energy Fuels White Mesa Mill Sm2O3 production for calendar year 2027, as reported in Energy Fuels' annual report (published ~March/April 2028), settled June 30 2028.
- YES if: Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 annual production >= 20 tonnes for 2027 NO if: Production is below 20 tonnes or not reported
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Energy Fuels 10-K annual report (SEC EDGAR) — rare earth production section
- Energy Fuels quarterly earnings releases (uuuu.com/investors)
