Current community forecast
No 88.5%
Forecasters
86
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 4, 23, 2:39 AM UTCJan 1, 61, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
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KalshiWill Starship successfully deploy its payload during Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Elon Musk steps onto the surface of Mars and NO if he dies without ever doing so.
