Current community forecast
No 71%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 23, 25, 10:55 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRules
This question resolves YES if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028.
- Note: Merely changing his title from CEO to something else would not count.
- @/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-s-l0nSChUR5t
- @/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-s-EILP2tqyUS (this question)
- @/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-s-pd9htuzguR
- @/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-s-dlLuP8gh0I
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
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- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028? resolve?
- Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves YES if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028.