Current community forecast
No 96.2%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleFeb 23, 25, 10:54 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by which date?
PolymarketRules
This question resolves YES if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2026.
- Note: Merely changing his title from CEO to something else would not count.
- @/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-s-l0nSChUR5t
- @/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-s-EILP2tqyUS
- @/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-s-pd9htuzguR
- @/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-s-dlLuP8gh0I (this question)
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves YES if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2026.