Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 12, 25, 11:06 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Elon Musk has described himself as a 'cultural Christian' and expressed appreciation for Christian principles.
- This market resolves YES if Musk makes an explicit, unambiguous statement identifying as a Christian (not just 'cultural Christian') on any public platform (Twitter, interviews, etc.) before 31st December, 2028.
- The statement must be unambiguous (e.g., "I am a Christian" or expressing belief in core Christian doctrines like Jesus's divinity or resurrection)
- Resolution source: Musk's X/Twitter account (@elonmusk) or verified news coverage of direct quotes.
