What are the current odds for Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol??

Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of August 16, 2026.

When does Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol? resolve?

Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol? is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2026.

How is Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol?

AIOne-OffTech

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (95.4%)

Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 6:10 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 95.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale

Aug 9, 26, 2:05 AMAug 15, 26, 6:10 PM

Trends

95.4%

Yes

4.6%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than GPT-5.6 Sol (on max)
If GPT-5.6 Sol has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO.

Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol?

AIOne-OffTech

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (95.4%)

Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 6:10 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 95.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale

Aug 9, 26, 2:05 AMAug 15, 26, 6:10 PM

Trends

95.4%

Yes

4.6%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than GPT-5.6 Sol (on max)
If GPT-5.6 Sol has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol??: Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of August 16, 2026.
When does Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol? resolve?: Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol? is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2026.
How is Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol?

Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol?

Frequently asked questions

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