KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 16% 98%+7.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9.4K
Liquidity
$9.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
97.0% / 98.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 33 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 11:00 PMAug 24, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If OpenAI scores above 16% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Aug 17, 2026 .
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If OpenAI scores above 17% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI scores above 18% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AI
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.4pt97%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $234.8K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+10.0pt95%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,-1.0pt89%
- October 31,+7.0pt81%
- October 15,+42.5pt66%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.8pt68.6%
- Grok-1.8pt9.8%
- ChatGPT-2.5pt9.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.1M
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani+2.0pt34%
- Pope Leo XIV-1.0pt17%
- Donald Trump+1.0pt14%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
GEMINIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy16.3%
- Chris Gotterup9.3%
- Wyndham Clark8.4%
+30 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.9K
- 24h Vol
- $34K
- Best AI this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- XRP price on August 31
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- New York Y vs Baltimore
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for OpenAI market share this week?
- Kalshi prices Above 16% at 98% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does OpenAI market share this week resolve?
- OpenAI market share this week is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is OpenAI market share this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If OpenAI scores above 16% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.