Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.3%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMar 18, 26, 12:00 AM UTCFeb 1, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Customer Satisfaction Opportunities is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $650.6K
- 24h Vol
- $522.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+19.0pt84%
- 65-89-3.0pt16%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt78.2%
- Apple-0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.4%
- 200-21917.5%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.5%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $137.4K
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $220.4K
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Largest Company end of September?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? resolve?
- Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2028.
- How is Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.