What are the current odds for Will China reach an agreement to join the CPTPP by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 72.5% as of October 27, 2026.

Will China reach an agreement to join the CPTPP by 2030?

ChinaCustom3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

No 72.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale

Aug 28, 23, 2:34 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 3:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.